Analysis

Pittsburgh Pirates Roundtable #7

Pittsburgh Pirates Roundtable #7

Question #1:
What do you think of Dan Szymborski's 2007 ZiPS projections for the Pirates? In your opinion, will the Pirates' regulars perform better, worse or the same as projected?
Wilbur Miller from Pirate Player Profiles:
I don’t see any obvious howlers in there. Like all projection systems, ZiPS leans heavily toward regression to the mean, so it’s not useful for projecting breakouts. Doumit or Bautista could be a candidate there, but Doumit isn’t likely to play much and Bautista struggled badly in the second half in 2006. This is a sad set of projections, and reflects the fact that Littlefield and Creech practically go out of their way to avoid hitters with any kind of ceiling.
Dave from Bucs Trade Winds:
I ran the numbers on a 25-man roster for the Pirates and did a post on this. From looking at the 25-man roster I expect going into the season, we are looking at considerable improvements in almost every offensive stat except RBI. I think the projections made are very optimistic. I...

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