Recent

0

Slugging Sanchez: Lineup Analysis – Part 2

A continuation of Part 1:
More Retrosheet stuff. This time, I looked at the number of times the lead-off batter got on in each game and tried to determine what effect, if any, that had on the production from the third and fourth batters.
For the purposes of this study, I defined “getting on base” as reaching via a walk or hit–something easily countable in a box score. I didn’t include any times that a hitter may have reached on a fielder’s choice, hit batsman, error, etc.
There’s a lot of data here, so I’ve split it up by month. You’ve already seen April through June; now, here are the results for July through the end of the season (the last 81 games):

 

#1 OB

#3-4 OB

#3-4 RBI

RPG

W

L

July

39

87

32

119

13

12

July/G

1.56

3.48

1.28

4.76

5.7 rpg

3.8 rpg

 

 

 

 

 

 

August

34

88

34

113

13

15

August/G

1.21

3.14

1.21

4.04

6.2 rpg

2.2 rpg

 

 

 

 

 

 

September

45

82

31

95

14

14

September/G

1.61

2.93

1.11

3.39

4.8 rpg

2.0 rpg

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

118

257

97

327

40

41

Total/G

1.45

3.18

1.19

4.03

5.5 rpg

2.6 rpg

#1 OB=BB+H for all batters in first spot
#3-4 OB=BB+H for all batters in third and fourth spots
#3-4 RBI=RBI for all batters in third and fourth spots
RPG=Runs per game the Pirates scored
W=Wins, L=Losses
The rpg stats in the W/L columns correspond, fittingly, to the runs per game in wins and losses.
I kept track of “good games” as well. I defined a good game to be when a lead-off batter reached two or more times and the #3-4 batters combined to reach four or more times.
Some second-half findings:

  • There were seven good games in July; six in August; five in September; 18 in the second half. The Pirates played .500 baseball to close the year, and the good games were distributed evenly.
  • In the good games, the Pirates won 14 times and lost four. They scored 6.61 runs per good game. The runs per good game average is slightly lower than it was the first half, but the winning percentage is significantly higher.
  • August was a bad month for the lead-off batters, but they picked the pace back up in September. The #3-4 batters steadily declined throughout the second half, though. The effect of their diminishing production is reflected in the runs per game totals.
  • The Pirates played “all or nothing” more often in the second half. The offense either put up crooked numbers or zeros.

I’ll look at the season as a whole later in the week. Expect fancy charts, graphs, etc.

Enjoy this story? Pirates Prospects will be switching to a subscription site on 4/13, so that we can continue bringing you the best Pirates coverage there is. For a very small monthly price, you can continue getting articles like this, along with coverage from every minor league city. Get more information here, and subscribe today!

Share This Article

Climbing Out of the Canyon – Part 5

Next Story »

Pittsburgh Pirates Roundtable #14

  • http://www.americanlegends.blogspot.com J. Mark English

    I love the blog that you have. I was wondering if you would link my blog to yours and in return I would do the same for your blog. If you want to, my site name is American Legends and the URL is:
    http://www.americanlegends.blogspot.com
    If you want to do this just go to my blog and in one of the comments just write your blog name and the URL and I will add it to my site.
    Thanks,
    Mark

  • http://www.sportzia.com/weblog/baseball/2007/02/12/my-neck-really-fucking-hurts/ Baseball » Blog Archives » my neck really fucking hurts

    […] A continuation of Part 1: More Retrosheet stuff. This time, I looked at the number of times the lead-off batter got on in each game and tried to determine what effect, if any, that had on the production from the third and fourth batters. For the purposes of this study, I defined getting on base as… – More – […]

Latest Analysis

  • Keller Supak Hinsz

    Even With the New Draft Rules, the Pirates Are Still Loading Up on Projectable Pitchers

    13 hours ago

    From 2008-2011, the Pittsburgh Pirates spent a lot of resources on projectable pitchers out of high school. So far, this approach has led to breakout performances from ...

    Read More
  • Josh Bell made the move to first base over the off-season. (Photo credit: David Hague)

    Why Should You Care About Prospects?

    2 days ago

    Yesterday I had a shorter day than usual. The Pirates had cuts at the MLB level, and a road game. The day was shortened at Pirate City, ...

    Read More
  • Gregory Polanco

    Q&A: Trading Prospects For Rentals, Polanco Concerns, Meadows vs Appel

    3 days ago

    I missed the Q&A last week due to a common problem in Spring Training: I forgot what day it was. It was around 6:00 that I was ...

    Read More
  • Nick Kingham f

    Improving His Two-Seam Fastball will Make Nick Kingham a More Effective Pitcher

    4 days ago

    With Jameson Taillon returning from Tommy John surgery, and unlikely to make an impact at the Major League level early in the year, the top prospect to ...

    Read More
  • Arquimedes Caminero 3

    The Roster Situations That Could Impact the Makeup of the Pirates Bullpen

    6 days ago

    There are less than two weeks remaining in Spring Training, and the one area where the Pittsburgh Pirates had actual position battles is heating up. There were ...

    Read More
  • Jordan Luplow

    How the Pirates are Trying to Stay Ahead of the Curve With the New Draft Rules

    7 days ago

    The 2011 Collective Bargaining Agreement brought a lot of changes to Major League Baseball. The biggest change for the Pittsburgh Pirates came in the draft. From 2008-2011, ...

    Read More
  • Alen Hanson

    The Key For Alen Hanson to Help the Pirates in the Majors This Year

    1 week ago

    When the Pittsburgh Pirates moved Alen Hanson to second base last year, part of the plan was to get him to the majors faster by putting him at ...

    Read More
  • Tyler Glasnow 2

    What the Stats Don’t Tell You About Tyler Glasnow

    1 week ago

    The stat line for Tyler Glasnow’s start at Pirate City yesterday looked great: 3 IP, 0 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 K. The lone run ...

    Read More
  • JaCoby Jones Josh Bell

    JaCoby Jones Did Fine in the Move to Shortstop, But Needs to Cut Down on Strikeouts

    2 weeks ago

    The Pittsburgh Pirates drafted JaCoby Jones as an outfielder in the third round of the 2013 draft, then surprised everyone the following year when they moved him ...

    Read More
  • Cody Dickson is a lefty with the upside of a middle of the rotation starter. (Photo Credit: Mark Olson)

    The Mental Adjustment that Led to Cody Dickson’s Dominant 2014 Second Half

    2 weeks ago

    Trusting his stuff and not trying to do too much — that has been the key for left-handed pitcher Cody Dickson so far in his professional baseball ...

    Read More
  • Browse More Articles

    More