Pirates Notebook: I Love the Bullpen

If there’s one thing I like about the 7-5 start to the season, it’s the bullpen.  I’m very comfortable with this bullpen when the Pirates are holding a lead, or when they’re trying to stay in the game.  That wasn’t exactly the case in years past.  There was Matt Capps bombing last year.  There have been guys like Tyler Yates and Denny Bautista blowing up in the middle innings.

One of the biggest concerns this off-season was the bullpen.  This was especially the case after trading Jesse Chavez to Atlanta, and non-tendering Matt Capps.  However, the Pirates signed Octavio Dotel, Brendan Donnelly, D.J. Carrasco, and Javier Lopez to add to Joel Hanrahan and Evan Meek.  So far, the decisions have paid off.

A casual observer would look at the 5.58 ERA (before today’s game), which ranks 24th in the majors, and say that the bullpen doesn’t look that special.  It doesn’t take a close look to realize that the overall stats can be misleading.

The 2010 numbers are heavily influenced by a few bad outings that occurred in non-essential situations.  The worst performances have come from Hayden Penn, D.J. Carrasco, Javier Lopez, and Jack Taschner, all of whom have received the majority of their work in times when the Pirates are either up or down by 4 or more runs.  In fact, those are the only relievers who have pitched this season when the Pirates have been either up or down by more than three runs.  In those 13.2 innings, the four relievers have combined for an 8.57 ERA, and a 1.76 WHIP.

In games where the Pirates have kept the game close (3 run lead or less, tied, or down by 3 or less), the bullpen has a 4.03 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in 29 innings.  What’s even better is that the back of the bullpen (Dotel, Donnelly, Meek, Hanrahan) have combined for a 3.13 ERA, and a 1.22 WHIP in 23 innings of work.

Not everything has been perfect.  Donnelly, for example, has allowed seven walks in six innings.  Dotel has allowed two homers in six innings, and has a blown save in four chances.  Javier Lopez has been used as a lefty specialist at times, but he came on to face two lefties on Friday and walked both batters, throwing just one strike and eight balls.

The bullpen also doesn’t have a shut down guy.  Handing the game to Dotel isn’t like handing it to Joakim Soria.  At the same time, it’s probably a little better than handing it to Matt Capps, who may have a good ERA and a few saves for Washington this season, but has been doing the tight rope walk routine in each save opportunity.  There’s also enough options available that the Pirates are covered with a backup plan, in the event that someone has an off night.

Stars of the Game
The top five players of the game, according to FanGraphs.  WPA stands for “Win Probability Added” and represents the impact the player had on his team’s chances of winning.  It’s based off of percentages, with each team starting the game with a 50% chance to win.  It is presented in decimal form, so .152 would equal 15.2%, meaning the player in question would have increased his team’s chances of winning by 15.2%.
1. Paul Maholm: .210 WPA
2. Jason Jaramillo: .089 WPA
3. Ryan Church: .078 WPA
4. Bobby Crosby: .069 WPA
5. Brendan Donnelly: .042 WPA
Other Stuff
-Just in case you missed it, I uploaded over 100 photos from the Pirates game on Friday, including a nice shot of Andrew McCutchen crossing the plate with the winning run.  If you’re a Facebook fan, you receive notifications when I upload new photos to the Facebook page.  If you’re not a Facebook fan, click here to go to the page and join.

-The Milledge People have a Facebook page as well.

Author: Tim Williams

Tim is the owner and editor in chief of Pirates Prospects. He started the site in January 2009, and turned it into his full time job during the 2011 season. Prior to starting Pirates Prospects, Tim worked with AccuScore.com, providing MLB, NHL, and NFL coverage to various national media outlets, including ESPN Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Sports, and the Wall Street Journal. He also writes the annual Prospect Guide, which is sold through the site. Tim lives in Bradenton, where he provides live coverage all year of Spring Training, mini camp, instructs, the Bradenton Marauders, and the GCL Pirates.

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