Comments on: Not Worried About Alvarez, Lincoln Yet http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html Mon, 20 May 2013 05:28:30 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 By: Lee Young http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15109 Lee Young Sun, 20 May 2012 13:46:00 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15109 “Kevin Correia shouldn’t be in the rotation. Seriously, they have Brad
Lincoln, Rudy Owens, and Jeff Locke as options. There’s no reason to
keep Correia in the rotation at this point. Move him to the bullpen and
save him for an emergency.”

Don’t forget that we have Karstens coming back.

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]]> By: Lee Young http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15108 Lee Young Sun, 20 May 2012 13:44:00 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15108 .
As a long suffering Pirate fan, I reserve the right to “panic and mass hysteria”.

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]]> By: Richard Ya'Zhynka http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15091 Richard Ya'Zhynka Sat, 19 May 2012 14:23:00 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15091 If the offense can improve to the point of being as bad as it was last year, the Pirates will finish at .500.

]]> By: John Lease http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15089 John Lease Sat, 19 May 2012 13:55:00 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15089 Barajas is heating up to his usual average of .230? Great.

]]> By: Randy Linville http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15088 Randy Linville Sat, 19 May 2012 12:15:00 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/2010/06/not-worried-about-alvarez-lincoln-yet.html#comment-15088 I agree, the Pirates – and any team – can contend with a below average offense. It just doesn’t happen all that often when the offense is in the bottom five in all of baseball.

The source of my pessimism isn’t the simple fact that the offense is bad. It is just how bad the offense is. The Pirates are last in runs per game with 2.85. The Cubs are 13th in the NL with 3.72 runs per game (league average is 4.08). In other words, the club is closer to averaging 2.0 runs per game than catching the 13th place team in the league. Those are just numbers and I don’t believe for a second that the offense will wind up at 2.0 runs per game on the year. But that’s the magnitude of how bad the hitting has been. The offense isn’t just bad. It isn’t merely below average. It is really, really bad.

What we are aiming for/waiting for/hoping for is a positive regression to the normal levels of league low runs per game and it seems to be very far away. If the club averaged 3.71 runs per game starting now (essentially matching current 13th place levels and nearly 0.9 runs per game better than through the first 39 games), that would put the season total average at 3.5
May has included four of the nine games in which Pedro awakened. It has also included the hot streak Barajas has had and Cutch hitting over .400 with plenty of power. Thus far, the average runs per game in May is 3.11. Which, believe it or not, is nearly a full half run better than where the club was in April. So, can this team improve by another half run starting now? Absolutely, but everyone, everyone, everyone has to start hitting.

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