We often hear about "projectability" with young pitchers. The idea is that a tall, skinny kid will add velocity to his frame as he fills out and matures. Often it seems that every tall, skinny kid has projectability. However, not every player with projectability will end up throwing in the upper 90s. It's for that reason that top high school draft picks like Tim Alderson never see a velocity increase, while an un-drafted prep player like Stephen Strasburg can soar to the top of the draft ranks after three years in college. There's no real rhyme or reason to determining which players will succeed, and which will remain the same. Overall, it's a crap shoot.
Let's go back for a second to the 2009 draft. Here are three scouting reports, courtesy of Baseball America in their draft preview. The names of the players, along with any identification hints, have been removed:
A projectable 6-foot-6 righthander, (Player A) typically got off to a late start in high school b...
Tim is the owner and editor in chief of Pirates Prospects. He started the site in January 2009, and turned it into his full time job during the 2011 season. Prior to starting Pirates Prospects, Tim worked with AccuScore.com, providing MLB, NHL, and NFL coverage to various national media outlets, including ESPN Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Sports, and the Wall Street Journal. He also writes the annual Prospect Guide, which is sold through the site. Tim lives in Bradenton, where he provides live coverage all year of Spring Training, mini camp, instructs, the Bradenton Marauders, and the GCL Pirates.