Analysis

Erik Bedard’s declining velocity

Erik Bedard’s declining velocity

Erik Bedard has made four starts as a Pirate, putting up a 2.63 ERA in 24 innings. He has been a bit inconsistent with his command, but has been effective for the most part. That being said, so far this season, his velocity has been a few ticks slower than in 2011. Here is a look at his velocity over the past six seasons, courtesy of Brooks Baseball and The Hardball Times.

It is clear that his four-seam fastball (FA) and two-seam sinker (SI) have been a bit slower in 2012. On average, each offering is down over two MPH this season. Here are his velocities for 2011 and 2012.

2011
2012

Four-Seam Fastball
91.22
89.08

Sinker
91.72
89.03

Bedard’s strikeout rate is down pretty significantly this season (23.1% in 2011, 17.0% in 2012), and it would seem to be easy to blame that on his declining velocity. But that does not seem to be the case. Bedard is actually missing bats more frequently in 2012 than he did in 2011. Here are his whiffs per swing rates for the past two years. (N...

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Analysis

Matt has covered the Pirates at Wait ‘Til Next Year, Pittsburgh Lumber Co. and now Pirates Prospects. He served as Pirates team expert for Heater Magazine in 2009 and 2010 and has contributed to Graphical Player 2009, 2010 and 2011. Matt was also the editor of the 2011 and 2012 Pirates Prospects Annuals.

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