Comments on: First Pitch: The Impact of Losing the Astros http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html Wed, 19 Jun 2013 15:38:35 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 By: Tim Williams http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23596 Tim Williams Fri, 04 Jan 2013 15:31:03 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23596 I know that the projections for the individual players are usually pretty accurate. The daily game simulations are also pretty accurate. I believe they finish first, or near the top each year in picking NFL winners in the ESPN experts poll.

As for the pre-season predictions, there are so many things that can happen that a simulation would be hard to predict. They do factor injuries in the simulations, but there are other things (trades, waiver claims, unexpected performances) that can alter the results throughout the year.

You look at the Pirates and they had a breakout year from McCutchen, a bounce back year from Burnett, and Alvarez also bounced back. Any simulation/projection software is going to put more weight on what a player has done, which means most sims/projections aren’t going to be predicting the type of season McCutchen had as the most likely outcome. Because of this, you get the big differences in team results from the beginning of the season to the end of the season.

]]> By: Ian Rothermund http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23591 Ian Rothermund Fri, 04 Jan 2013 05:19:56 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23591 Hah…uh, no? Not as much since driving isn’t included under my job description. I only have about another month before my insurance papers clear in PA though, so after that, who knows….especially with all the PiratesProspects activity that will be taking place heading in February. Watch out for the Brown 2008 Sportage patrolling I-70 between Washington and Greensburg everyone! lol.

]]> By: Lee Young http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23587 Lee Young Thu, 03 Jan 2013 21:47:34 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23587 Like I mentioned above….according to Olney, 3 of the best OFs and Lineups are in the NL Central.

Cards, Reds, Brewers.

Gonna be tough…I agree. We may have a better team and do worse.

]]> By: Lee Young http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23586 Lee Young Thu, 03 Jan 2013 21:46:12 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23586 are you texting while driving again?

one of these days you won’t be here to text if you keep that up. AND the person you run into…..

]]> By: Lee Young http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23585 Lee Young Thu, 03 Jan 2013 21:45:14 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23585 Ian….agree

]]> By: Ian Rothermund http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23584 Ian Rothermund Thu, 03 Jan 2013 19:42:22 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23584 *just, not isn’t. Damn autocorrect. Damn texting whilst driving.

]]> By: leadoff http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23583 leadoff Thu, 03 Jan 2013 19:15:02 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23583 IMO, the NL Central is going to be tough in 2013, the teams that the Pirates have to beat have all improved, the Cubs have quietly built a pretty good pitching staff, we don’t match up well against the Brewers, but should hold our own against Cards and the Reds. The Cards and the Reds are better teams, but our lineup is better suited to go against them. I think the “AL” teams present a big challenge to all the teams in the NL Central and have me more concerned than the Astros leaving the division. The Pirates can’t go into the season looking for a patsy they can beat, they have to beat everyone or at least compete with everyone. IMO, the Pirates have a little bit of an advantage in that they play all the teams in the AL East for a month in ST.

]]> By: Ian Rothermund http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23582 Ian Rothermund Thu, 03 Jan 2013 19:13:13 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23582 I isn’t think that if they’re either meant, or built, to succeed, the Pirates are going to have to out-play the Reds and Cards. So the Astros leaving is simply irrelevant. A season is never won or lost with a .667 win % against one team in 17 games of a 162 game season.

]]> By: WNCRoadBowling http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23581 WNCRoadBowling Thu, 03 Jan 2013 18:29:40 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23581 Even if it equals a two win difference that’s still a pretty big number in the scope of a playoff race.

]]> By: beatembuccos21 http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/01/first-pitch-the-impact-of-losing-the-astros.html#comment-23580 beatembuccos21 Thu, 03 Jan 2013 18:28:17 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=45394#comment-23580 Tim – from your time at Accuscore, do you have a feel on how accurate their pre-season predictions are or were? Their NL predictions last year were pretty uneven (they had the Pirates at 69 wins) – http://accuscore.com/sports-betting-system/baseball-analysis/mlb-2012-national-league-preview. They were on the money with some, but missed pretty badly on others – Bucs, Cubs, Nats, Phils.

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