Jonathan Mayo’s Second Mock Draft, More Reese McGuire

With exactly one week to go until the 2013 MLB Amateur Draft, we are getting the second mock drafts from the industry experts. Earlier today, we posted Keith Law’s picks for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Now we get the latest picks from Jonathan Mayo, which has the Pirates taking Reese McGuire in the ninth spot and Hunter Renfroe five picks later. 2013 draft

If you read the Law article from earlier, he also picked McGuire, but had the Pirates taking DJ Peterson with their second pick. I mentioned that most people have Peterson going higher(Mayo has him at #12), so Hunter Renfroe might be a more like target for the Pirates if they were trying to go the route of a polished college bat at a corner position.

McGuire has been connected to the Pirates more than any other name in the draft. It has been mentioned by Law and some others that the Pirates are high on him and GM Neal Huntington himself, went to see him play twice. It is possible that he was an early focus of the team, played well this year and still might not be taken due to the names that have fallen. We have also heard from other sources that some teams feel there are better HS catchers out there, namely Jon Denney and Nick Ciuffo, who will both go somewhere in the first round. Both at some point have been called the most polished catcher available.

As of right now, it looks like North Carolina third baseman Colin Moran, won’t be available when the Pirates make their first selection. It does seem a bit odd that he was getting mention in the Pirates range earlier this month, then has suddenly moved up into the top five. Moran did not have a strong past weekend during the ACC tournament, going a combined 1-for-14 in their two extra inning games.

Playing the “If the draft goes as he predicts” game, the Pirates would pass over Austin Meadows, the potential five tool HS outfielder from Georgia, who went #10 in Mayo’s mock draft. This wouldn’t be a surprise, as Meadows has fallen in most polls, but it would be a tough player for the Pirates to pass on. Meadows has a huge ceiling, with lack of power this season holding him from the top end of the draft, where he was ranked early in the process. He may have hit just four homers this year, but Meadows is already 6’3″, 215 pounds and has shown tremendous power during batting practice, so the potential is there and youth is on his side.

Also mentioned in the Law article, the Pirates would be passing on JP Crawford and Dominic Smith, two high upside HS kids out of California. While Law has them going tenth and eleventh, Mayo has the Pirates passing on both with their second pick as well. Instead the two go back-to-back at the #15-16 spots. That wouldn’t be surprising, as both have been mentioned in that same general area for awhile now.

It would mean the Pirates would be going polished college bat over upside if they took Renfroe. Crawford is a shortstop that will stick at the spot and get on base, plus add speed at the top of the lineup. Smith plays first base, can play outfield and has pitched, showing a strong arm. He possibly has the highest power potential of any bat in the draft including San Diego’s Kris Bryant, who will go top three and who also led all of college in homers this year.

John Dreker

Author: John Dreker

John was born in Kearny, NJ, hometown of the 2B for the Pirates 1909 World Championship team, Dots Miller. In fact they have some of the same relatives in common, so it was only natural for him to become a lifelong Pirates fan. Before joining Pirates Prospects in July 2010, John had written numerous articles on the history of baseball while also releasing his own book and co-authoring another on the history of the game. He writes a weekly article on Pirates history for the site, has already interviewed many of the current minor leaguers with many more on the way and follows the foreign minor league teams very closely for the site. John also provides in person game reports of the West Virginia Power and Altoona Curve.

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  • jg941

    If they’re there, Meadows (at #9) and Crawford (at #14), wild card of Ball.

  • kidic56

    “but Meadows is already 6’3″, 215 pounds and has shown tremendous power during batting practice,”

    Does the name, Brad Eldred, ring a bell?

    • John Dreker

      There is no similarity between Eldred and Meadows, they are as far apart as you can get and still be talking about the same sport. Eldred has huge home run power in games too, but holes in his swing. Meadows is a pure hitter with line drive hitting. He is closer to Jose Tabata in that he should be hitting more homers but the swing doesn’t have loft. That too still isn’t a good comparison, but much closer. The best comparison is probably Aaron Judge at Fresno State, who will go in the first round this year, possibly ahead of Meadows. He has size and power, but hits line drives in games

  • PirateTom

    If this is how is most likely goes down I’d like McGuire at #9 and Crawford at #14

  • Monkshot

    I like everything I see/read about McGuire. I think it’s hilarious his coach says he’s already MLB defensively ready but I do see a huge upside in the kid.

  • http://www.facebook.com/drew.behling Drew Behling

    How does the profile for Tony Sanchez when he was drafted compare to that of Reese McGuire? With the bevy of catching talent in the draft, is there a chance any of it gets to the 2nd round? I still think Dominic Smith would be a huge pick up with the porch in right.

    It would be really cool though to see where the 5-6 players currently being discussed would fit in to the prospect tiers/ratings if they were to be drafted.