Comments on: First Pitch: The Bullpen, The Depth, and The Regression http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html Your best source for news on the Pittsburgh Pirates and their minor league system. Tue, 09 Sep 2014 02:41:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.9.2 By: Y2JGQ2 http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html#comment-28390 Mon, 03 Jun 2013 17:49:48 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=55663#comment-28390 and please don’t focus on “crystal ball of doom” I was being dramatic, i know other things could even it out, but some people in some situations could think that at times

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By: Y2JGQ2 http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html#comment-28389 Mon, 03 Jun 2013 17:41:23 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=55663#comment-28389 Again- as usual I completely disagree with your “absolute’ approach to advanced metrics. Regression will PROBABLY happen in some way, but there is no guarantee it will. Regression is points along a line of time, and its entirely possible however unlikely….that the point of regression lies beyond the season. We see players and teams quite often that way overperform their advanced metrics for a whole season. Might our BP way overperform all year and then come crashing down next year instead of some point later this year? Quite possibly. Or maybe for one reason or another, injury disallows certain overperformers the opportunity to underperform in order to even things out. There are too many variables. I understand the value of advanced metrics, but to give perspective, not to make it seem like its a crystal ball of doom.

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By: Tim Williams http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html#comment-28373 Mon, 03 Jun 2013 14:28:22 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=55663#comment-28373 That assumes the offense won’t improve. And there are signs that we haven’t seen the best that the offense has to offer.

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By: Bryan Graham http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html#comment-28372 Mon, 03 Jun 2013 14:27:11 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=55663#comment-28372 Here is the problem with the bullpen regressing from amazing to good. The offense isn’t good enough over the course of the season to make up for it. They rank in the bottom third in about everything offensively. I hate to be a pessimist, but this season seems so similiar to the last 2 to me, little offense and a pitching staff that will come back to earth at some point. I will continue to enjoy the ride and cheer for the Bucs each game, but I can’t believe until they actually do it.

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By: Lee Young http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html#comment-28367 Mon, 03 Jun 2013 13:50:28 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=55663#comment-28367 Because those pitchers are going to regress is another reason we need to start ‘finding some grass’ a little more often with our bats.

Of course, ‘finding water’ is okay, too.

Foo

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By: joe g. http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html#comment-28365 Mon, 03 Jun 2013 13:47:02 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=55663#comment-28365 I understand. A player like Gomez may not have a high value in the open market based on his predicted performance, which would effect his compensation and trade value. However, given certain characteristics of your ball club (great defense) and certain characteristics of the pitcher (high ground ball rate), the player might be a great value to the ball club based on the performance the club would get for the money. This would be especially important to a small market team like the Pirates.

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By: Tim Williams http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html#comment-28363 Mon, 03 Jun 2013 13:28:44 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=55663#comment-28363 I don’t know if there’s a stat as specific as that. Usually stats aim to look at a player’s individual value. The goal would be to see what Jeanmar Gomez can do on his own, without the impact of anyone else.

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By: joe g. http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/first-pitch-the-bullpen-the-depth-and-the-regression.html#comment-28360 Mon, 03 Jun 2013 12:39:43 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=55663#comment-28360 Tim, This is great. I’m starting to dig into advanced baseball statistics more and this article really helps. Question, is there a statistic predicting future pitching “performance” that incorporates defense? For example, What is Jeanmar’s expected era playing with the Pirates defense versus other clubs?

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