Pirates Playoff Odds: Hovering Above 50 Percent

Pirates Playoff Odds: Hovering Above 50 Percent

Andrew McCutchen is projected to proved 3.6 wins above replacement for the rest of the season. (Photo by: David Hague)

Let's escape from the forest and look at the trees. We are still four months away from the MLB Playoffs, but want to make sure to keep one eye on the postseason picture, one eye on the team day-to-day and one eye on that optometrist that really screwed us up.

Every Monday, I will break down the playoff odds and projections from the three sites that do it best: Baseball Prospectus, FanGraphs and We'll see how the Pirates' chances develop on their quest to make the playoffs for the first time in two decades.

Baseball Prospectus: 87.5 wins, 74.5 losses, 61.2% chance to make playoffs

The BP odds use PECOTA projections and the site's depth charts ...

This content is for Pirates Prospects subscribers only. Subscribers get access to all of our daily articles on the Pirates and their minor league system, with live coverage throughout the system on a daily basis. Our lowest rates are $2.22 per month under our Top Prospect Plan, which also gets you a FREE copy of the 2016 Prospect Guide. Subscribe today to access all of our daily coverage of the Pirates' system.

If you're already a member, you can log in below. If you think you're receiving this message in error, please e-mail


James dabbles in the baseballey-writey world. He won the SABR Analytics Conference Research Award for contemporary baseball analysis. It was for that defensive shifts piece, you remember that? Not a huge deal, he also lost a bunch of other awards. He has also written for, Pittsburgh Magazine, Pittsburgh Sports Report and the official websites of the Los Angeles Clippers and Pittsburgh Penguins. By night, James is a television news reporter and weekend anchor for WKBN and WYTV in Youngstown, Ohio. Makes sense, seeing as how his degree from the University of Southern California is in Broadcast Journalism. James dispenses more bad jokes at his Twitter account, @JamesSantelli. It's there that he promises to write in the first-person.

More in Analysis

Photo by Sean McCool.

Who is Remaining For the Pirates to Protect From the 2016 Rule 5 Draft?

Tim WilliamsOctober 8, 2016
(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Pirates Have Off-Season Money to Spend in the Initial 2017 Payroll Projection

Tim WilliamsOctober 7, 2016
Adrian Valerio 3216

Instructs Report: Nice Day for Hughston at the Plate; Valerio Plays Second Base

John DrekerOctober 6, 2016

Instructs Report: Max Kranick Showing Promise With His New Curveball

Tim WilliamsOctober 5, 2016

Instructs Report: Stephen Alemais Showing Better Offense, Still Amazing Defense

Tim WilliamsOctober 4, 2016
(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Should the Pirates Trade Andrew McCutchen This Off-Season?

Tim WilliamsOctober 3, 2016

Pirates Prospects is an independent media outlet, and is in no way affiliated with the Pittsburgh Pirates, their minor league affiliates, Major League Baseball, or Minor League Baseball.

Copyright © 2016 Pirates Prospects