Comments on: What Should We Expect From Gerrit Cole? http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/what-should-we-expect-from-gerrit-cole.html Your best source for news on the Pittsburgh Pirates and their minor league system. Sun, 27 Jul 2014 23:55:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.9.1 By: Kevin Anstrom http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/what-should-we-expect-from-gerrit-cole.html#comment-28910 Tue, 11 Jun 2013 03:11:03 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=56877#comment-28910 Nice article James
This is a comment related to your article and the one earlier from Tim about the recent Pirates drafts.
I reviewed the 288 drafts between 1991 and 2000 across all 30 MLB teams. Eight of the 288 (less than 3%) had multiple pitchers with career WAR > 10. No draft had 3 pitchers with career WAR > 10.
The eight drafts with multiple “impact” pitchers are shown below.
Astros 1996 – Roy Oswalt, Wade Miller (65.8)
Twins 1991 – Brad Radke, LaTroy Hawkins (61.3)
Cubs 1991 – Steve Trachsel, Jon Lieber (49.7)
Mariners 1991 – Derek Lowe, Shawn Estes (45.6)
Giants 1995 – Joe Nathan, Russ Ortiz (38.3)
Cubs 1997 – Jon Garland, Scott Downs (33.5)
Rangers 1996 – Doug Davis, RA Dickey (33.4)
Giants 1994 – Keith Foulke, Bobby Howry (32.0)
The Cubs and Giants each had two pairs, four teams had one pair, and 24 teams had no pairs.
Does this change the way we view the 2010 (Kingham, Taillon, etc.) and 2011 (Cole, Glasnow, etc.) drafts?
My bottom line is that it’s unrealistic to expect Kingham/Taillon or Cole/Glasnow to be better than Oswalt/Miller or Radke/Hawkins.

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By: Kevin Anstrom http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/what-should-we-expect-from-gerrit-cole.html#comment-28909 Tue, 11 Jun 2013 03:08:30 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=56877#comment-28909 Nice article James

This is a comment related to your article and the one earlier from Tim about the recent Pirates drafts.

I reviewed the 288 drafts between 1991 and 2000 across all 30 MLB teams. Eight of the 288 ( 10. No draft had 3 pitchers with career WAR > 10.

The eight drafts with multiple “impact” pitchers are shown below.

Astros 1996 – Roy Oswalt, Wade Miller (65.8)
Twins 1991 – Brad Radke, LaTroy Hawkins (61.3)
Cubs 1991 – Steve Trachsel, Jon Lieber (49.7)
Mariners 1991 – Derek Lowe, Shawn Estes (45.6)
Giants 1995 – Joe Nathan, Russ Ortiz (38.3)
Cubs 1997 – Jon Garland, Scott Downs (33.5)
Rangers 1996 – Doug Davis, RA Dickey (33.4)
Giants 1994 – Keith Foulke, Bobby Howry (32.0)

The Cubs and Giants each had two pairs, four teams had one pair, and 24 teams had no pairs.

Does this change the way we view the 2010 (Kingham, Taillon, etc.) and 2011 (Cole, Glasnow, etc.) drafts?

My bottom line is that it’s unrealistic to expect Kingham/Taillon or Cole/Glasnow to be better than Oswalt/Miller or Radke/Hawkins.

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By: capirate http://www.piratesprospects.com/2013/06/what-should-we-expect-from-gerrit-cole.html#comment-28884 Mon, 10 Jun 2013 23:21:20 +0000 http://www.piratesprospects.com/?p=56877#comment-28884 I think we should probably view Cole as a 4-5 starter for this season and maybe a #3 starter next season if he progresses. There is a tiny possibility that he could be dominating from the start, but it is much more likely that his outings will fluctuate significantly.

I wish he could have stayed in Indianapolis for at least a few more weeks. He is making progress, but not quite ready for MLB yet.

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