Analysis

Pirates Being Favored Over Cardinals in Stat Friendly Previews

Pirates Being Favored Over Cardinals in Stat Friendly Previews

If you strongly favor statistical analysis, then your stance on RISP numbers is that it is not a predictive value. So while the St. Louis Cardinals have an amazing .330 average with runners in scoring position, going forward they should be expected to be closer to their .269 average overall.

It's not a surprise that previews from people who think this way are picking the Pirates over the Cardinals in the NLDS.

Rany Jazayerli has a great preview on Grantland, and predicts that the Pirates will win in four games. Jazayerli sums up the impact of the RISP numbers, and the Pirates defensive shifts, here:

The Cardinals' offense is also highly dependent on balls in play to succeed. The Cardinals were second in the NL in singles and first in doubles, but were just 13th in home runs. The P...

This content is for Pirates Prospects subscribers only. Subscribers get access to all of our daily articles on the Pirates and their minor league system, with live coverage throughout the system on a daily basis. Our lowest rates are $2.22 per month under our Top Prospect Plan, which also gets you a FREE copy of the 2016 Prospect Guide. Subscribe today to access all of our daily coverage of the Pirates' system.

If you're already a member, you can log in below. If you think you're receiving this message in error, please e-mail tim@piratesprospects.com.

Analysis

Tim is the owner and editor in chief of Pirates Prospects. He started the site in January 2009, and turned it into his full time job during the 2011 season. Prior to starting Pirates Prospects, Tim worked with AccuScore.com, providing MLB, NHL, and NFL coverage to various national media outlets, including ESPN Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Sports, and the Wall Street Journal. He also writes the annual Prospect Guide, which is sold through the site. Tim lives in Bradenton, where he provides live coverage all year of Spring Training, mini camp, instructs, the Bradenton Marauders, and the GCL Pirates.

More in Analysis

(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Ivan Nova Discusses His Desire to Stay With the Pirates After Final 2016 Start

Alan SaundersSeptember 30, 2016
(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Pirates Notes: Adam Frazier Still Looking to Learn

Alan SaundersSeptember 29, 2016
(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Alen Hanson Is Adjusting to Limited Time in September

Ed GilesSeptember 29, 2016
(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Jameson Taillon Has a Strong Finish to His 2016 Season in Pirates’ Win

Alan SaundersSeptember 29, 2016
(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Clint Hurdle Makes Playing Time Adjustments With the Pirates Eliminated

Alan SaundersSeptember 28, 2016
taylor-hearn-3-wm-92716

Instructs Report: Taylor Hearn Makes an Adjustment to His Mechanics

Tim WilliamsSeptember 28, 2016

Pirates Prospects is an independent media outlet, and is in no way affiliated with the Pittsburgh Pirates, their minor league affiliates, Major League Baseball, or Minor League Baseball.

Copyright © 2016 Pirates Prospects