Jameson Taillon ranked fifth among RHP prospects

Baseball Prospectus Releases Their Top Ten Pirates Prospects

Baseball Prospectus has released their top ten Pirates Prospects today, which is available here for subscribers. The names on the top ten list are the same as everywhere else, although the rankings are much different.

Most outlets have Gregory Polanco as the top prospect, but BP went with Jameson Taillon first and Polanco second. Tyler Glasnow rated third, which is a pretty standard rating for him. From there, BP did things a little different.

Their number four prospect was Reese McGuire, and number five was Josh Bell. These two rankings are higher than most. Part of that is because BP is lower on Austin Meadows (7) and Alen Hanson (8), although they are high on McGuire and Bell.

Nick Kingham ranked sixth, which is a normal spot for him, and Luis Heredia and Harold Ramirez took the last two spots in order, which is also normal. The big difference between this list and other lists are that Meadows/Hanson have been basically switched with McGuire/Bell. That’s not a surprise if you saw BP’s top 100 prospects last week. The Pirates had seven players in that list, and as expected, they went in the same order as this ranking.

BP’s writeup includes great information on each player, including an overall future potential, a realistic role, a risk factor, major league ETA, and all of the strengths and weaknesses. For example, they say Jameson Taillon has an OFP of a number two starter, with a realistic role of a number three starter. They also list him as a low risk, with an ETA of 2014.

Gregory Polanco and Nick Kingham also received an ETA of 2014, with Kingham’s ETA listed as “late 2014″. If everything goes by the ETAs that were listed, then the Pirates could see Polanco, Taillon, Glasnow, Bell, Kingham, and Hanson in the majors by the end of the 2015 season.

The parting thought was a good summary of the overall system: “This is the no. 3 farm system in baseball, complete with high-ceiling upside and depth for days, the kind that will keep it in the top tier long after the Taillons and Polancos of the world graduate to the majors.”

Enjoy this story? Pirates Prospects will be switching to a subscription site on 4/13, so that we can continue bringing you the best Pirates coverage there is. For a very small monthly price, you can continue getting articles like this, along with coverage from every minor league city. Get more information here, and subscribe today!

Share This Article

Tim Williams

Tim is the owner and editor in chief of Pirates Prospects. He started the site in January 2009, and turned it into his full time job during the 2011 season. Prior to starting Pirates Prospects, Tim worked with, providing MLB, NHL, and NFL coverage to various national media outlets, including ESPN Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Sports, and the Wall Street Journal. He also writes the annual Prospect Guide, which is sold through the site. Tim lives in Bradenton, where he provides live coverage all year of Spring Training, mini camp, instructs, the Bradenton Marauders, and the GCL Pirates.

First Pitch: This is Where the Pirates Need to Spend Money

Next Story »

First Pitch: Why is Defense Still Underrated?

  • jaygray007

    Glad Heredia still got love there.

    That McGuire report read like a dirty magazine.

  • stickyweb

    So basically their top 8 prospects are worthy of top 100 consideration and inclusion, depending on who’s list you’re looking at. Not a bad spot to be in at all.

    Also, can anyone tell be when Meadow’s bat slowed down so much? The first I heard of it was a week or two ago, and it seems odd that it would happen over the offseason before his age 19 season. Just sayin’.

    • buster09

      Sticky,the same ” experts ” that couldn’t see how slow Morneau’s bat had become now think Meadows is slow !

      • Ian Rothermund

        I think those comments about his bat being slow are getting blown out of proportion.

      • blackmax

        BP’s staff has seen Meadows get beat with what they call fringy fastballs in the zone. This raises a red flag, but it’s not a death sentence. Parks acknowledges that Meadows might turn out to be terrific, but he passes along what he and his staff see even if it runs contrary to what most scouts and analysts are saying.

  • rich

    If I can reword BP’s overall logic: The Pirates have the third best minor league system – even though their best prospect is realistically projected to be a number three starter? That doesn’t really make sense to me.

    • jg941

      Well, I guess your best prospect could be projected as a #2 or #1 starter……..and the rest of your system could suck. There’s a lot of that going around.

      The #3 ranking is for the SYSTEM, obviously. Presumably, if you actually looked at the rest of the Pirates prospect list (well beyond the Top 10, too), you’d easily see why they have (at least) a Top 3 system in baseball. Take a look at every other team’s #2 prospect, their #5, their #8, their #10, #12, #15, etc., and compare those guys head-to-head with whatthe Bucs have at a similar spot. The Pirates system is crazy-good and deep.

      Many pundits feel that it’s #1 overall, so #3 might actually be a bit conservative but, hey, I’ll take it.

  • Y2JGQ2

    Whats interesting is this- In terms of Austin, Bat speed usually lends itself to plate disclipine because you can wait longer to make your mind up to swing, better margin of error, and also usually less strikeouts. What…….if any signs…….based off his plate disclipine and strikeouts actually bear out this odd theory about slow bat speed. Lets be realistic, the kid was in high school……how many 90+ FB did you face in high school? Its a growth and adjustment process to better pitching. If that same issue occurred past midyear this season, then i’d maybe be a tad concerned

  • moose7195

    Why is the baseball world so down on Taillon? BP has his realistic projection as #3 starter, what a slap in the face considering the stuff he possesses.

    • blackmax

      Moose, I think that’s just the floor. According to BP’s analysis, it’s not unlikely that Taillon turns into one of the best pitchers in the league. They do believe that Cole is ahead of Taillon , especially since Cole got the ultra-rare 8 on his fastball when he was rated last year. But Jason Parks himself has said that he thinks that it’s a mistake to underrate Taillon. He says that the Pirates have a system that limits what young pitchers do as they work their way up and that Taillon is likely to surprise people in the same way that Cole did.

      • moose7195

        If it was his floor then why call it a “realistic projection”?

Latest Analysis

  • Josh Bell made the move to first base over the off-season. (Photo credit: David Hague)

    Why Should You Care About Prospects?

    1 day ago

    Yesterday I had a shorter day than usual. The Pirates had cuts at the MLB level, and a road game. The day was shortened at Pirate City, ...

    Read More
  • Gregory Polanco

    Q&A: Trading Prospects For Rentals, Polanco Concerns, Meadows vs Appel

    2 days ago

    I missed the Q&A last week due to a common problem in Spring Training: I forgot what day it was. It was around 6:00 that I was ...

    Read More
  • Nick Kingham f

    Improving His Two-Seam Fastball will Make Nick Kingham a More Effective Pitcher

    3 days ago

    With Jameson Taillon returning from Tommy John surgery, and unlikely to make an impact at the Major League level early in the year, the top prospect to ...

    Read More
  • Arquimedes Caminero 3

    The Roster Situations That Could Impact the Makeup of the Pirates Bullpen

    5 days ago

    There are less than two weeks remaining in Spring Training, and the one area where the Pittsburgh Pirates had actual position battles is heating up. There were ...

    Read More
  • Jordan Luplow

    How the Pirates are Trying to Stay Ahead of the Curve With the New Draft Rules

    6 days ago

    The 2011 Collective Bargaining Agreement brought a lot of changes to Major League Baseball. The biggest change for the Pittsburgh Pirates came in the draft. From 2008-2011, ...

    Read More
  • Alen Hanson

    The Key For Alen Hanson to Help the Pirates in the Majors This Year

    1 week ago

    When the Pittsburgh Pirates moved Alen Hanson to second base last year, part of the plan was to get him to the majors faster by putting him at ...

    Read More
  • Tyler Glasnow 2

    What the Stats Don’t Tell You About Tyler Glasnow

    1 week ago

    The stat line for Tyler Glasnow’s start at Pirate City yesterday looked great: 3 IP, 0 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 K. The lone run ...

    Read More
  • JaCoby Jones Josh Bell

    JaCoby Jones Did Fine in the Move to Shortstop, But Needs to Cut Down on Strikeouts

    2 weeks ago

    The Pittsburgh Pirates drafted JaCoby Jones as an outfielder in the third round of the 2013 draft, then surprised everyone the following year when they moved him ...

    Read More
  • Cody Dickson is a lefty with the upside of a middle of the rotation starter. (Photo Credit: Mark Olson)

    The Mental Adjustment that Led to Cody Dickson’s Dominant 2014 Second Half

    2 weeks ago

    Trusting his stuff and not trying to do too much — that has been the key for left-handed pitcher Cody Dickson so far in his professional baseball ...

    Read More
  • Third Base Mathisen Luplow Joe

    Who’s on Third? In the Pirates’ Farm System, It Could Be Anyone

    2 weeks ago

    If you have ever played third base in your life — professional, college, high school, slow pitch softball — then the Pittsburgh Pirates might be contacting you ...

    Read More
  • Browse More Articles