Analysis

Is There a Spot in the Majors For Jeff Locke?

Is There a Spot in the Majors For Jeff Locke?

If you look at Jeff Locke's numbers from the 2013 season, you won't find much wrong on the surface. He put up a 3.52 ERA in 166.1 innings last year, with a 4.03 FIP that suggests he over-performed his season numbers a bit, but no more than Charlie Morton (3.26/3.60), Wandy Rodriguez (3.59/4.42), or Jeanmar Gomez (3.35/3.85).

But the season numbers don't tell the story with Locke. During the first half of the season, he had a 2.15 ERA in 109 innings. During the second half, he had a 6.12 ERA in 57.1 innings. I didn't think he was as good as the first half numbers, but I also didn't think he was as bad as the second half numbers.

Locke's BABIP was .228 in the first half, and .365 in the second half. Typically starting pitchers are around .290-.300. His strand rate was 83.3% in the first half, and 67% in the second half. Starters are normally around 70%. So you had a case where Locke was lucky in the first half, and unlucky in the second half, hitting two extremes with neither telli...

This content is for Pirates Prospects subscribers only. Subscribe today to access all of our daily coverage of the Pirates' system, with rates lower than $2.25 per month. If you're already a member, you can log in below.

Analysis
@http://twitter.com/timwilliamsp2

Tim is the owner and editor in chief of Pirates Prospects. He started the site in January 2009, and turned it into his full time job during the 2011 season. Prior to starting Pirates Prospects, Tim worked with AccuScore.com, providing MLB, NHL, and NFL coverage to various national media outlets, including ESPN Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Sports, and the Wall Street Journal. He also writes the annual Prospect Guide, which is sold through the site. Tim lives in Bradenton, where he provides live coverage all year of Spring Training, mini camp, instructs, the Bradenton Marauders, and the GCL Pirates.

More in Analysis

(Photo Credit: David Hague)

The Top Five Stories from the Half Season Mark in Altoona

Sean McCoolJuly 5, 2015
(Photo credit: David Hague)

Advanced Approach Pays Dividends for Ty Moore

Jamey ConlinJuly 4, 2015
Stephen Tarpley

Stephen Tarpley Providing the Left-Handed Pitching the Pirates’ System Needs

Pete EllisJuly 3, 2015
(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Radhames Liz Sees Early Success in a Starting Role

Ryan PalencerJuly 3, 2015
The Pirates' Dominican Academy, which opened in 2008.

Why Some International Players Can Sign, But Have Trouble Entering the U.S.

Tim WilliamsJuly 2, 2015
(Photo Credit: David Hague)

Gift Ngoepe’s Promotion Was a Long Time Coming

Sean McCoolJuly 1, 2015

Pirates Prospects is an independent media outlet, and is in no way affiliated with the Pittsburgh Pirates, their minor league affiliates, Major League Baseball, or Minor League Baseball.

Copyright © 2015 Pirates Prospects