Third Mock Draft From Keith Law Has College Outfielder Falling to Pirates

Keith Law posted his third mock draft today(subscription required) and he has a surprising name falling to the Pittsburgh Pirates in the 24th spot. Law thinks that they could take Bradley Zimmer, the outfielder from San Francisco. This could be considered a huge drop for Zimmer, who was mentioned for awhile this season as the best college bat in the draft, ranked in the top ten for draft prospects numerous times.

Law mentions what we already know about the Pirates, that they will take best player available, regardless of position. If Zimmer really falls to them, I could see them taking him despite having plenty of depth in the outfield. Most people believed Zimmer wouldn’t make it past the Kansas City Royals, who have his brother Kyle in their farm system as one of their top prospects.

Bradley Zimmer has the potential for above average tools across the board, making him a polished five tool player. He has good speed, allowing him to steal bases and play center field, where his arm is above average. He can also hit for power and should hit for average as well. He would seem like a steal at the 24th pick.

Earlier today, Baseball America released their top 500 prospects list.  Zimmer ranks 14th on their list. He has dropped since early in the year, but this is the first time he has been as low as 24 in any mock draft.

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John Dreker

John was born in Kearny, NJ, hometown of the 2B for the Pirates 1909 World Championship team, Dots Miller. In fact they have some of the same relatives in common, so it was only natural for him to become a lifelong Pirates fan. Before joining Pirates Prospects in July 2010, John had written numerous articles on the history of baseball while also releasing his own book and co-authoring another on the history of the game. He writes a weekly article on Pirates history for the site, has already interviewed many of the current minor leaguers with many more on the way and follows the foreign minor league teams very closely for the site. John also provides in person game reports of the West Virginia Power and Altoona Curve.

Updated Top 500 Draft Rankings From Baseball America

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  • pilbobuggins

    It seems to me that the pirates having four relatively high picks bodes well for their chances of having a really good draft. Gotta give huntington a ton of credit for getting pick 39 for morris.

    • John Dreker

      While Law doesn’t go far enough with his picks to give a thought about #39, he does praise the Pirates for picking it up for nothing

  • Monsoon Harvard

    They have no shot at Zimmer, but it’s fun to speculate. Just like I do right after I buy my Cash 5 ticket for a buck every once in a while. Then I’m brought back to reality as usual.

    • John Dreker

      I doubt he does either, I’ve heard he could go ten to the Mets and if he drops, the Royals are a great fit. Law does have some inside sources though, so he must be hearing things on Zimmer. One of the reasons I’ve never done a mock draft despite all the coverage I do for the draft, is my mock would be based purely on what I hear from people like Law, Jim Callis, etc. That’s why we only provide them from certain people, ones that are known to get more inside info than others. Doesn’t mean they will be right though, just more likely what you’re hearing is closer to the truth.

      • szielinski

        I learned the hard way to trust Law’s use of his sources. The draft is too unpredictable to predict who a team with the 24th pick would take; but someone with insider knowledge can reconstruct a plausible scenario of a draft order. That, in any case, is how I read Law.

        • John Dreker

          I’ve been saying all along, we won’t have a good idea of who the Pirates might take until the Tigers make their selection at #23. These mock drafts just give you a sense of the talent that might be available and while most fans aren’t looking for another outfielder, especially when they see the Major League situation, if someone like Zimmer falls to them, that’s like getting a top ten pick most other seasons.

          • szielinski


  • Simon Weaver

    Monte Harrison is the only OF prospect I would take. A pure athlete like a Cutch, Byron Buxton. Really quick bat speed, really fast, a 5 tool guy. In five years, the OF landscape could be totally different, so go BPA. I also don’t move Tabata or Snider, well unless somehow they are wanted. I move Marte and some others (Addison Russell?), call up Polanco, and give Neil a 5 year/28.5M extension

    • meatygettingsaucy

      Agree on Harrison and approach to drafting. Have to disagree on Tabata/Snider and Marte stuff. It seems just about a forgone conclusion Snider is out of here in a week or two. Tabata, with his contract and above average hit tool, seems destined for the 4th OF spot which is fine. Marte would not fetch Russell. It would take a more to grab Russell from the A’s. And Neil, while he’s having a great year, should not be extend five years under just about any circumstances. He does not project to age well,

      • https://profiles.google.com/100212786463678215436 Nathan Swartz

        Does not project to age well…do any of us?

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