Analysis

Looking at the Pirates’ 2018 ZiPS Projections to See if They Should Be Buyers or Sellers

If the Pirates decide to try and contend in 2018, then Starling Marte is one of several players who needs to exceed his projections. Photo Credit: David Hague
Looking at the Pirates’ 2018 ZiPS Projections to See if They Should Be Buyers or Sellers

Every year when FanGraphs releases the ZiPS projections for the Pirates, I do an article where I take the WAR projections, combined with my analysis on the expected playing time, and come up with an expected win total. This process started in 2013 and continued each season after that. The projections always came in higher than most other projections, but the real value here is that you can look at the individual projections at the end of the season and pinpoint where things really went right or wrong.

Unfortunately, the last two years have led to a practice where we've been looking at all of the things that went wrong, and very few things that went right.

The projections for the 2018 season were released yesterday, which means we get that early baseline that we can go back and analyz...

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Analysis

Tim is the owner and editor in chief of Pirates Prospects. He started the site in January 2009, and turned it into his full time job during the 2011 season. Prior to starting Pirates Prospects, Tim worked with AccuScore.com, providing MLB, NHL, and NFL coverage to various national media outlets, including ESPN Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Sports, and the Wall Street Journal. He also writes the annual Prospect Guide, which is sold through the site. Tim lives in Bradenton, where he provides live coverage all year of Spring Training, mini camp, instructs, the Bradenton Marauders, and the GCL Pirates.

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