Pirates Playoff Odds Remain Above 98 Percent into August
Aug05

Pirates Playoff Odds Remain Above 98 Percent into August

The Pirates won four out of five games from the St. Louis Cardinals and two out of three from the Colorado Rockies last week. That is, hold on while I get my dictionary… A good thing. Good. Hmm, that’s a new word. Anyway, Pittsburgh sat just under 98 percent playoff odds one week ago and now are just over 98 percent. There is less than a two percent chance the Pirates miss the postseason. However you put it, things seem...

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Pirates Playoff Odds at 98 Percent, Best in Baseball
Jul31

Pirates Playoff Odds at 98 Percent, Best in Baseball

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a nearly 98 percent chance to reach the MLB postseason, averaging projections from Baseball Prospectus and Clay Davenport, and are expected to finish the season 93-69. The combined playoff odds are the best in Major League Baseball and the highest Pittsburgh has seen in the last three seasons, including a 49 percent chance of winning the National League Central division. This should be no surprise, as the...

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Pirates Playoff Odds Fall to 86 Percent After Two Series Losses
Jul08

Pirates Playoff Odds Fall to 86 Percent After Two Series Losses

Even though a 2-4 week is not a precursor to COLLAPSE 3.0: THE COLLAPSENING, every loss affects the Pirates’ chances of making the playoffs. With the team projected to win 91 games, every additional win or loss has a distinct effect on the playoff odds. The Pirates have a 86% chance to make the playoffs, a drop of five percentage points from last week. On this day last year, the team had a 36% chance of reaching the postseason....

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Pirates Playoff Odds Over 90 Percent with MLB’s Best Record
Jul01

Pirates Playoff Odds Over 90 Percent with MLB’s Best Record

The Pittsburgh Pirates not only have the best record in Major League Baseball, but also the best chance to make the MLB Playoffs. Every week we look at the projected standings from Baseball Prospectus, Clay Davenport and FanGraphs, three of the most reliable postseason projections. At the halfway point of the season the Pirates have a 91% chance to reach the playoffs, according to BP and Davenport. Before we delve into the numbers,...

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Pirates Playoff Odds: Sweep Catapults Bucs Over 75 Percent
Jun24

Pirates Playoff Odds: Sweep Catapults Bucs Over 75 Percent

Five weeks ago, the Pirates’ chances of reaching the playoffs were at 40 percent. Since then, Pittsburgh has gone 22-13 and improved their average odds to almost 80 percent. That’s good police work, Lou. If the second Wild Card did not exist, the team’s odds would be about 50 percent. That’s what happens when baseball’s three most-winning teams are all in the same division. All right, reset. What do the...

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Pirates Playoff Odds: Strong Homestand Bumps Up Chances
Jun18

Pirates Playoff Odds: Strong Homestand Bumps Up Chances

This week’s odds report was delayed by one day because my laptop was driving the StruggleBus yesterday. It couldn’t boot up. But one reformatted hard drive later, Lappy and I are all good. It’s a fresh start. So let’s also use this chance as a fresh start for looking at the Pirates’ playoff odds. First, we will take a gander at the standings through June 17: National League Central St. Louis: 45-25...

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