Playoff Race Update: Reds and Pirates Now Tied For the Top Wild Card Spot
Sep21

Playoff Race Update: Reds and Pirates Now Tied For the Top Wild Card Spot

The National League playoff race is tight. The NL Central has three teams separated by two games. The division leaders in the National League are separated by three games. The regular season ends in nine days, and the playoff races will all be close. To keep track of that, we’ll have a nightly recap with the scores, standings, and any tiebreaking information for relevant scenarios. Here are the results from tonight, and how they...

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Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Close to Clinching, But Division Underdogs
Sep19

Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Close to Clinching, But Division Underdogs

The Pirates are making the playoffs, barring an unprecedented disaster. Pittsburgh’s postseason odds are at 99.6 percent, meaning there is a 1-in-250-chance the Bucs are shut out of the playoffs. However, posting an 8-9 September record that includes being swept in St. Louis has pushed the Pirates from being favorites in the NL Central division (12.4 percent odds). There is a 78-percent chance the NL Wild Card game will be a...

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Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Now Underdogs in NL Central
Sep09

Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Now Underdogs in NL Central

So it turns out being swept by the St. Louis Cardinals hurts your chances of winning the National League Central division. The Pittsburgh Pirates dropped all three games at Busch Stadium this weekend, by a margin of 26-10, to move from odds-on division favorite to underdogs in the Central. Let’s look at the standings for the three-team fight: St. Louis: 83-60 Pittsburgh: 81-61 (1.5 games back) Cincinnati: 82-62 (1.5 games back)...

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Pirates Playoff Odds After Trading for Marlon Byrd, John Buck
Aug29

Pirates Playoff Odds After Trading for Marlon Byrd, John Buck

It would take a Hindenburg-esque crash for the Pirates to miss the MLB postseason (98-percent chance Bucs make it), but it is unlikely they will take the NL Central over the St. Louis Cardinals (32 percent). The Bucs can shoulder some blame. The Pirates are 12-13 in August, a month that started with their 13-0 loss to the Cards. Meanwhile, St. Louis has rolled off a 16-11 record since the July 31 trade deadline, including those two...

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Pirates Playoff Odds: NL Central Could Be St. Louis-Pittsburgh Dead Heat
Aug20

Pirates Playoff Odds: NL Central Could Be St. Louis-Pittsburgh Dead Heat

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 98-percent chance to make the playoffs and a 36-percent chance to win the National League Central division, according to combined odds from Baseball Prospectus and Clay Davenport. Pirates general manager Neal Huntington says he does not even glance at the NL Wild Card standings. “I really don’t look at standings, actually, because my focus is doing everything we can to prepare,”...

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Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Get Chance to Attack vs. Cardinals, D-Backs
Aug13

Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Get Chance to Attack vs. Cardinals, D-Backs

This upcoming week is the most important so far in determining the Pirates’ overall playoff chances and division-winning chances. The Bucs get three games against the St. Louis Cardinals to extend their lead in the National League Central, then they play three against the Arizona Diamondbacks to chip away at their magic number for a playoff berth. Their current playoff odds sit at 98.2 percent. It’s easy to see why this...

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