The Risk of Taking a Pitcher in the First Round

Earlier this week, Kipper at The Pirates Tavern forum sent me a post he did looking back at recent draft history, focusing on players taken in the top five picks from 1999-2005.  What he found was that hitters have been the safer picks, and that the failure rate amongst pitchers in the top five picks has been very apparent.  I appreciate the work and the effort Kipper put in, and he reaches a conclusion that is similar to a theory...

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