Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Close to Clinching, But Division Underdogs
Sep19

Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Close to Clinching, But Division Underdogs

The Pirates are making the playoffs, barring an unprecedented disaster. Pittsburgh’s postseason odds are at 99.6 percent, meaning there is a 1-in-250-chance the Bucs are shut out of the playoffs. However, posting an 8-9 September record that includes being swept in St. Louis has pushed the Pirates from being favorites in the NL Central division (12.4 percent odds). There is a 78-percent chance the NL Wild Card game will be a...

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Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Now Underdogs in NL Central
Sep09

Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Now Underdogs in NL Central

So it turns out being swept by the St. Louis Cardinals hurts your chances of winning the National League Central division. The Pittsburgh Pirates dropped all three games at Busch Stadium this weekend, by a margin of 26-10, to move from odds-on division favorite to underdogs in the Central. Let’s look at the standings for the three-team fight: St. Louis: 83-60 Pittsburgh: 81-61 (1.5 games back) Cincinnati: 82-62 (1.5 games back)...

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Pirates Playoff Odds After Trading for Marlon Byrd, John Buck
Aug29

Pirates Playoff Odds After Trading for Marlon Byrd, John Buck

It would take a Hindenburg-esque crash for the Pirates to miss the MLB postseason (98-percent chance Bucs make it), but it is unlikely they will take the NL Central over the St. Louis Cardinals (32 percent). The Bucs can shoulder some blame. The Pirates are 12-13 in August, a month that started with their 13-0 loss to the Cards. Meanwhile, St. Louis has rolled off a 16-11 record since the July 31 trade deadline, including those two...

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Pirates Playoff Odds: NL Central Could Be St. Louis-Pittsburgh Dead Heat
Aug20

Pirates Playoff Odds: NL Central Could Be St. Louis-Pittsburgh Dead Heat

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 98-percent chance to make the playoffs and a 36-percent chance to win the National League Central division, according to combined odds from Baseball Prospectus and Clay Davenport. Pirates general manager Neal Huntington says he does not even glance at the NL Wild Card standings. “I really don’t look at standings, actually, because my focus is doing everything we can to prepare,”...

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Pirates Notebook: Neil Walker Has Been a Hit in August
Aug15

Pirates Notebook: Neil Walker Has Been a Hit in August

While the Pirates’ overall offense is slowly accelerating this month (11th in the NL in runs, 6th in OPS), Neil Walker has shifted gears entirely. Pittsburgh’s second baseman has been one of the league’s most productive players in August, hitting¬†.362 with an .893 OPS. Only Arizona’s hot-hitting Aaron Hill (.391 BA, 1.146 OPS) is performing better than Walker this month among NL second basemen. Walker has built...

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