Kevin Hart - Newscom

One prospect who I feel has been mostly underrated by Pirates fans is Jeff Locke, acquired in the trade that sent Nate McLouth to Atlanta in June of 2009. That opinion is mostly due to a glance at his FanGraphs page, which displays the following stats.

ERA
FIP

2006
Braves - R
4.22
3.01

2007
Braves - R
2.66
1.74

2008
Braves - A
4.06
3.04

2009
Braves - A+
5.52
3.64

Pirates - A+
4.08
3.16

It is clear that Locke has consistently outpitched his ERA over his career. Again, this was just from a quick glance at his stats. However, I recently began looking deeper, and it dawned on me that the majority of his FIP-value came from an absurdly low home run rate. He allowed only five home runs in 127.1 total innings last season, and he has served up just 17...

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