Let's take a look at two prep players from the 2008 draft:

Career Numbers

Player A - 4.95 ERA in 132.2 career innings.  5.8 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 0.5 HR/9 ratios.

Player B - 4.14 ERA in 215.1 career innings.  6.6 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 0.5 HR/9 ratios.

2011 Numbers

Player A - 27.00 ERA in 3.1 innings. 8.1 K/9, 5.4 BB/9, 0.0 HR/9 ratios.

Player B - 2.55 ERA in 49.1 innings.  8.9 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 0.4 HR/9 ratios.

In each case, Player B has been better statistically.  Player A is Quinton Miller, selected by the Pittsburgh Pirates in the 20th round of the 2008 draft.  Miller was signed for $900,000, breaking a commitment to UNC.  Player B is Drew Gagnon, selected by the Pittsburgh Pirates in the 10th round of the 2008 draft.  Gagnon didn't sign, and instead went to Long Beach State Univers...

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