Can Andrew McCutchen get his performance back up to near-MVP levels in the second half? (Photo credit: David Hague)

The Pittsburgh Pirates not only have the best record in Major League Baseball, but also the best chance to make the MLB Playoffs.

Every week we look at the projected standings from Baseball Prospectus, Clay Davenport and FanGraphs, three of the most reliable postseason projections. At the halfway point of the season the Pirates have a 91% chance to reach the playoffs, according to BP and Davenport.

Before we delve into the numbers, here are the National League Standings at the start of play July 1.

Pittsburgh: 51-30
St. Louis: 49-32 (2.0 games back, 1st Wild Card)
Atlanta: 48-34 (3.5 GB, NL East Leader)
Cincinnati: 46-36 (5.5 GB, 2nd Wild Card)
Arizona: 4...

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