Looking at the Pirates Pitching Depth With Jameson Taillon Out For the Year

Depth was a big reason why the Pittsburgh Pirates had a strong rotation in 2013. They had a lot of injuries, but it seemed like every time they had an injury come up, they had a Major League ready pitcher to step into the rotation and take over. One of the biggest boosts last year was Gerrit Cole, who was pitching like an ace by the end of the year. The hope was that Jameson Taillon would arrive by mid-season 2014 and do the same thing that Cole did last year. Today it was announced that Taillon will need Tommy John surgery, which means that the earliest he could arrive in the majors is next June.

The Pirates still have a lot of depth options, although none with the upside that Taillon could have provided. Here are the current depth options, minus Taillon.

MLB Bullpen Options

Stolmy Pimentel – He threw four innings in extras last week, and looked impressive. The Pirates really like Pimentel, and view him as a rotation candidate for the 2015 season. He’s got the stuff to be a number two or number three starter in the majors, although consistency problems limit that upside and make him more likely to be a number four starter. I’d expect him to get the first crack at the rotation this year, especially if an opportunity arises early in the season.

Jeanmar Gomez – Gomez played a big role in the rotation last year, making a lot of starts for the Pirates early in the season. He could return to that same role this year, although I think Pimentel will be this year’s version of Gomez.

Triple-A Prospects

Brandon Cumpton – He had success in the rotation last year, although he’s not as good as his 2.05 ERA in that limited time last year. Cumpton continued having success in Spring Training, and had a great 2014 debut last night with Indianapolis. His true talent is a back of the rotation starter, although he could play up with the Pirates due to his high ground ball ratio and excellent fastball command.

Jeff Locke – Last season Locke was pitching like an ace in the first half of the season, and pitching like he belonged in Triple-A in the second half. I didn’t think he was as good as the first half, and he wasn’t as bad as the second half. Before he arrived in the majors, I saw his upside as a strong number four starter. I still see that as his upside. He’s currently rehabbing, and will throw a full game in Bradenton on Wednesday, with the goal being 100 pitches. The Pirates won’t need him right away, so he will go to Indianapolis to serve as depth.

Phil Irwin – He only got one start in the majors last year, then went down after having ulnar nerve transposition surgery. Irwin looked sharp during Spring Training. His curveball is a plus offering, and when he’s commanding his fastball, he’s got the stuff to be a Major League starter. Like Cumpton and Locke, Irwin’s upside is a back of the rotation starter.

Casey Sadler – The Pirates love sinkerball pitchers, and Sadler does an excellent job in that area. In his first start of the season, he had a 61% ground ball ratio while giving up one run in six innings. Just like the other guys on this list, Sadler profiles as a back of the rotation starter. However, his heavy sinkerball approach could play up in Pittsburgh.

Double-A and Minor League Free Agents

Nick Kingham – With the injury to Taillon, Nick Kingham becomes the pitching prospect to watch in the upper levels. He started back in Altoona in part because there was no projected long-term spot in the rotation for him in Triple-A. Jake Brigham and Adam Wilk are currently in the Indianapolis rotation, although Locke and Taillon were expected to take those spots. Kingham had a good start today, going six shutout innings, with three walks and three hits, while striking out six. Last year he had a 2.70 ERA in 73.1 innings in Double-A, with an 8.5 K/9 and a 3.7 BB/9. It’s possible that Kingham could move up to Triple-A sooner than expected with Taillon out.

If Kingham does move up to Triple-A, then he could be the big guy to watch for a possible arrival to Pittsburgh in the second half. He’s got more upside than anyone on this list. The conservative projection for him is a solid number three starter who can eat 200 innings per year. He has been improving his game each year, and could exceed the number three starter projection if those improvements keep coming. At this point, it wouldn’t be crazy to think he could become a solid number two starter in the majors. I wouldn’t expect that right away, but Kingham has a chance of arriving in the second half, and now replaces Taillon as the best pitching prospect who could arrive this year.

Jake Brigham/Adam Wilk/Vance Worley – These guys are Kris Johnson-level emergency depth. Brigham and Wilk are currently pitching in the Triple-A rotation. Worley is getting stretched out in extended Spring Training. But for one of them to be a starter in the majors this year, the Pirates would need to see at least eight starting pitchers struggle or get injured. Most teams have these types of guys much higher on their depth charts, and not as the 13-15 options (or 14-16 before Taillon’s injury).

Tim started Pirates Prospects in 2009 from his home in Virginia, which was 40 minutes from where Pedro Alvarez made his pro debut in Lynchburg. That year, the Lynchburg Hillcats won the Carolina League championship, and Pirates Prospects was born from Tim's reporting along the way. The site has grown over the years to include many more writers, and Tim has gone on to become a credentialed MLB reporter, producing Pirates Prospects each year, and will publish his 11th Prospect Guide this offseason. He has also served as the Pittsburgh Pirates correspondent for Baseball America since 2019. Behind the scenes, Tim is an avid music lover, and most of the money he gets paid to run this site goes to vinyl records.

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moose7195

Saddest news ever. This is going to hurt this team in the short run

Andrew

Excuse my ignorance but does play up mean that a projected fifth starter could pitch to a level of a four and so on? Not the that these are strictly defined categories.

Paul Krzywicki

Manny Machado certainly would look good right now. Impact SS or a RHP? Take the impact everyday player at a premium position every day of the week, IMO.

BuccosFanStuckinMD

I think Machado would be our starting SS or 3B by now. His defensive ability – range and arm – are just off the charts.

moose7195

Except Manny Machado would probably be in AA with NH as his GM, his minor league stats were unimpressive and we all know how NH likes to take things slow. And because his minor league stats were so mediocre, many would probably be crying “bust” at this point.

leowalter

You mean folks like Paul ” many ” moose ?

Lee Young

I love NH, but….So much for his belief that he could avoid the normal attrition rate with young pitchers. JT makes it 5 TJ customers by my count?

Travis Persinger

LOL…and you think thats a bad number? Are you serious or just looking for anything negative? There’s plenty of faults from upper management but 5 TJs in 6+ years for an entire organization is bad? Come on man…they do an excellent job of monitoring their pitchers. That’s one area scorned fans can’t complain about .

SteveW

Five over what period of time and including what levels? To judge, what is the average pct for an MLB team over the same levels and time period?

Andrew

Here is a list that has a breakdown by team, no cut point for the NH era. There is an up to date list floating around by either Jeff Zimmerman or Brian Cartwright.

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2012/11/4/3587834/MLB-tommy-john-surgeries-a-more-complete-list

BuccosFanStuckinMD

I like Cumpton as the first option for the Pirates, in terms of if and when they need another SP for their rotation. However, Kingham is a kid to keep you’re on – he was outstanding today for Altoona – would not be shocked to see him in Indy by the 4th of July. Also, what about McPherson? When will he be ready to pitch again this year? He looked good 2 years ago, until he had to have TJ surgery last year.

leowalter

I hate to disappoint you,but Kingham was NOT outstanding today. He didn’t control the zone at all,but I am sure he will improve that with a couple of more starts. The weather hasn’t been too kind to starting pitchers in Altoona so far.

leowalter

I would totally agree with you Tim. I really only wanted to make the point that he wasn’t really as dominating as it might have appeared, and might not be as close to PNC as a lot of folks might think. But I have been impressed with him since he first arrived here, and he should be contributing as soon as next season.

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