Prior to every season, I do a projection article where I take the ZiPS player projections, adjust them to the expected playing time for every position on the Pirates' roster, and get a total win projection.

That projection tends to be more optimistic than any other pre-season projection. From 2013-2015, the Pirates actually out-performed my projection article. The last two years, they fell short.

The best part of the article is that we can look back and see where the Pirates exceeded their projections, or where they fell short. The 2013-2015 articles were all about seeing where they exceeded projections, while last year saw almost every single player falling short. This year was similar to last year, with a lot of players struggling to reach their pre-season projections.

I did thi...

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