There is no good way to evaluate a draft immediately from the outside. We're all just reacting to the limited information we have, with very little chance for research and knowledge of a player before the pick is made.

We've got national rankings that are pretty much treated as gospel, since that's all we have. Those rankings conflict with the rankings of the teams, and we tend to stick with the national opinions over the team opinions. So when the Pirates draft Baseball America's 200th best prospect with the 444th pick, it's viewed as good value. When they draft the 211th ranked prospect with the 81st pick, we view it as a reach.

The national rankings always get the preference, even when there are clear reasons that they aren't infallible -- like when every team passes on a player a...

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