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Morning Report: Breaking Down Kevin Newman’s Increase in Power

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Kevin Newman always ranked high in our prospect rankings in large part to his high floor. He looked like a guaranteed MLB player from day one, having enough contact skills, speed, and defensive ability up the middle to reach the majors at least in a bench role.

The lack of power was always a key thing holding him back in our rankings. Power was never going to be a big part of his projected game. The Pirates did try a few things to try and improve his power, but nothing was showing results in the minors.

As a contact-only guy, Newman could get by with his speed and mostly singles. But he’d need to show the ability to hit for a high average in the majors, while also supporting his stats with a lot of walks. When he reached Triple-A, the walk rate plummeted, then recovered a bit last year, but never reached his old 9% ranges.

In short, Newman either needed to add power, or become one of the few successful high average/low walk/low power hitters in the majors.

So far this year, Newman has added the power. He has five home runs, which matches his career best in half the at-bats. He’s got a .159 ISO, which is a career best by far. The question is whether this new addition is something that is here to stay.

The initial look at the numbers isn’t good. There’s very little change at all in Newman’s ground ball/line drive/fly ball splits, with over 50% grounders. That’s not a horrible thing, considering his ability to get infield hits. His hard contact percentage has gone up, while his soft contact has also risen, with the medium taking the hit. It’s hard to evaluate these trends, even by month, as he doesn’t have much MLB time to display a trend. Perhaps the current combination is leading to more power, but that would be difficult to determine.

I don’t have an answer to whether Newman can continue hitting for power with his current batted ball profile. We’re all waiting to see the answer with more playing time. What I do know is that this is the version of Newman that the Pirates need, and this is the version that is a sure thing starter in the majors.

TODAY’S SCHEDULE

Today’s Starter and Notes: The Pittsburgh Pirates lost 2-1 to the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday afternoon. The Pirates now return home for four games against the Chicago Cubs. Trevor Williams gets the start tonight. He has made two starts since returning from a right side strain. He came back with seven runs over five innings against the Detroit Tigers, then six days ago, he allowed four runs on eight hits in 6.2 innings against the Houston Astros. The Cubs will counter with 24-year-old right-hander Adbert Alzolay, who has pitched just 8.2 big league innings, posting a 2.08 ERA, with nine strikeouts and an 0.92 WHIP. He has given up just two hits, both of them solo homers.

The minor league schedule includes Steven Jennings returning from a short break to help control his innings in his first full season. He last pitched on June 21st and went four innings that day. Jennings posted a 2.08 ERA and a .208 BAA in the month of June. Cam Vieaux goes for Indianapolis for the sixth time. He has allowed 1-2 runs in each of his last four starts. Vieaux has a 3.22 ERA in 81 innings this season between Altoona and Indianapolis. Gavin Wallace goes for Bradenton. He had a 7.97 ERA on May 16th and since then he has allowed just one run in 22 innings. Bristol will send out Tahnaj Thomas for his third start. He has lasted just 1.2 innings in his two starts combined, throwing a total of 78 pitches, with 40 going for strikes.

There’s no starter listed for Altoona, but it should be the second start for Cody Bolton, who faced the minimum over his first four innings before giving up four runs in the fifth. Morgantown also doesn’t have a starter listed, but it is likely Will Kobos making his third start. He allowed four runs in each of his first two starts, throwing a total of 6.1 innings.

MLB: Pittsburgh (39-43) vs Cubs (45-39) 7:05 PM
Probable starter: Trevor Williams (4.25 ERA, 53:10 SO/BB, 65.2 IP)

AAA: Indianapolis (41-39) @ Louisville (30-52) 7:00 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Cam Vieaux (3.82 ERA, 29:18 SO/BB, 30.2 IP)

AA: Altoona (42-37) @ Akron (39-43) 7:05 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Cody Bolton (8.31 ERA, 6:2 SO/BB, 4.1 IP)

High-A: Bradenton (43-36) vs Jupiter (28-47) 6:30 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Gavin Wallace (4.25 ERA, 37:10 SO/BB, 42.1 IP)

Low-A: Greensboro (50-30) @ Hagerstown (33-48) 7:05 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Steven Jennings (4.98 ERA, 69:23 SO/BB, 72.1 IP)

Short-Season A: Morgantown (9-7) @ Auburn (7-8) 7:00 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Will Kobos (11.37 ERA, 6:5 SO/BB, 6.1 IP)

Rookie: Bristol (5-7) @ Kingsport (6-6) 6:30 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Tahnaj Thomas (27.00 ERA, 1:5 SO/BB, 1.2 IP)

GCL: Pirates (1-3) vs Braves (1-4) 10:00 AM  (season preview)

DSL: Pirates1 (10-15) vs Red Sox2 (12-11) 10:30 AM  (season preview)

DSL: Pirates2 (21-4) vs Giants (12-12) 10:30 AM  (season preview)

HIGHLIGHTS

From Altoona, Chris Sharpe walks it off with a chopper over the drawn in infield

Mitchell Tolman and Gift Ngoepe team up for a nice double play

Tolman has been hitting well recently. Here he hits an RBI single on Saturday night

Tim Williams
Tim Williams
Tim is the owner, producer, editor, and lead writer of PiratesProspects.com. He has been running Pirates Prospects since 2009, becoming the first new media reporter and outlet covering the Pirates at the MLB level in 2011 and 2012. His work can also be found in Baseball America, where he has been a contributor since 2014 and the Pirates' correspondent since 2019.

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