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Morning Report: Some Candidates for the Top 30

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I’ve gotten a little impatient, on the days when I’ve done the Prospect Watch, from updating the performances of the Pirates’ top 30 prospects.  It’s a bit outdated now; we don’t update it until after the signing deadline for draftees has passed.  Not that it’s anybody’s fault, but it’s a bit annoying updating the list while NOT being able to include some of the guys who clearly belong there now.  Also, it’s fun to go through all the guys who’ve been pleasant surprises.  So I thought I’d run through the players who seem like good candidates to join the top 30.  This is strictly my personal rundown, with no input from Tim or John, so it may not reflect what you’ll see when we do our rankings soon.  I’m also going to ignore the guys who were just drafted and the ones who just moved up to the US from last year’s Dominican Summer League.

Dario Agrazal, RHP:  Agrazal doesn’t have the mid-90s fastball that got him on the Pirates’ 40-man roster the first time around.  He has, however, been fully healthy so far (knock on wood) for the first time in several years.  He seems to have transitioned from a guy who was very sinker-heavy to mixing his pitches more and taking advantage of good command.  His ceiling is probably fifth starter, but that’s certainly good enough for the top 30.

Robbie Glendinning, SS:  This sort of thing is always a tough call.  Glendinning appeared to be an organizational utility guy, but he suddenly started mashing the ball at both Bradenton and Altoona, including very good power.  Is it real?  Well, he won’t be 24 until October and deserves a bit of a break for growing up in Australia, although he did play college ball in the US.  He’s not exactly a guy who’s just beating up on younger players.

Pedro Vasquez, RHP:  Up until mid-2017, Vasquez looked very promising, but he had a rough second half and then battled illness and injury last year.  He’s been terrific this year, with a WHIP below 1.00 at Altoona.  He also had an outstanding start at Indianapolis (his second game there, after a rough first one), but the Pirates sent him back to AA.  He’s another pitcher whose ceiling is the back of the rotation, but the Pirates aren’t exactly swimming in starting depth.

Blake Cederlind, RHP:  His command comes and goes, but Cederlind can hit triple digits and he’s gotten excellent results at Altoona.  The Pirates haven’t had much success with similar pitchers so far (i.e., Dovydas Neverauskas and Geoff Hartlieb), but the potential is there.

Rodolfo Castro, IF:  Castro was probably a bit too young for the South Atlantic League last year, hence his return there this year, but he has significant power for a middle infielder.  He even has a better OPS in his brief time at Bradenton than he did at Greensboro.

Brad Case, RHP:  An obscure, late-round pick in last year’s draft, Case has obviously made an impression on the Pirates, as they put him in the Greensboro rotation this year and then gave him an early promotion.  He doesn’t miss a ton of bats and has occasional gopher issues, but he minimizes baserunners and has made a lot of progress quickly.

Nick Mears, RHP:  Signed as a non-drafted free agent near the end of last year, Mears has moved very quickly pitching in short relief.  He misses a ton of bats — his K/9 between Greensboro and Bradenton this year is 13.4 — and his control isn’t as much of an issue so far as some of the other hard throwers in the system.  I’ll be a little surprised if he doesn’t finish the year at Altoona.

Mason Martin, 1B:  Duh.  This is a lot of power for a guy who just turned 20 a month ago.  He’ll always strike out a lot, but he’s made significant adjustments and his K rate has been trending downward throughout the season.  There’s good reason to be hopeful.

Jack Herman, OF:  Herman had a big debut last year, but it’s not a great idea to place a lot of weight on rookie level stats for a late-round draft pick.  Now, though, Herman is showing very good power in limited time in full season ball at age 19.  He’s striking out a lot more than last year, but that’s not completely surprising given his age and the fact that he moved to Greensboro well into the season.

I was going to list some candidates to drop out of the top 30, but that’s probably unnecessarily mean.  I will say, though, that I’ve got fewer candidates to drop out than to join the list.  I guess something will have to give.

TODAY’S SCHEDULE

Today’s Starter and Notes: The Pittsburgh Pirates won 6-5 over the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday night. The Pirates are sending out Jordan Lyles for the series finale. He missed three weeks with a left hamstring injury before coming back last week with three runs over six innings against the Milwaukee Brewers. It was his third consecutive start against the Brewers. Lyles faced the Cubs back on April 10th and gave up one run over six innings. The Cubs will counter with veteran lefty Jose Quintana, who has a 4.21 ERA in 94 innings, with 78 strikeouts and a 1.37 WHIP. He tossed six shutout innings against the Cincinnati Reds in his last start. That followed eight earned runs versus the New York Mets on June 22nd. Quintana had seven shutout innings and 11 strikeouts against the Pirates on April 11th.

The minor league schedule includes Michael Burrows trying to bounce back from a rough start last time out. In his first six pro outings, Burrows gave up one earned run. In his last outing, he surrendered six runs on five hits and four walks in 1.2 innings. Mitch Keller starts again for Indianapolis. He leads the International League with a 2.82 ERA and has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last six starts for Indianapolis.

Bristol will send out Dante Mendoza for his third start. The 20-year-old right-hander allowed four runs over four innings in his last start after tossing four shutout frames in his debut. Bradenton’s Nicholas Economos has allowed one earned run over his last 12.2 innings. His 86 strikeouts this year leads all Pirates minor leaguers. Altoona’s Sean Brady has gone at least six innings in each of his last nine starts. In his last eight starts, he has given up 1-2 runs in seven of those outings. Greensboro doesn’t have a starter listed.

MLB: Pittsburgh (42-43) vs Cubs (45-42) 4:05 PM
Probable starter: Jordan Lyles (3.71 ERA, 71:26 SO/BB, 70.1 IP)

AAA: Indianapolis (42-41) vs Toledo (37-47) 6:15 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Mitch Keller (2.82 ERA, 82:27 SO/BB, 70.1 IP)

AA: Altoona (44-38) vs Erie (44-37) 7:00 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Sean Brady (3.88 ERA, 36:18 SO/BB, 62.2 IP)

High-A: Bradenton (45-37) vs Florida (29-53) 10:30 AM (season preview)
Probable starter: Nicholas Economos (2.54 ERA, 36:19 SO/BB, 46.0 IP)

Low-A: Greensboro (51-32) vs Lakewood (34-50) 7:00 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: TBD

Short-Season A: Morgantown (10-9) @ Williamsport (4-15) 1:05 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Michael Burrows (5.91 ERA, 13:9 SO/BB, 10.2 IP)

Rookie: Bristol (7-8) @ Greeneville (6-9) 6:30 PM (season preview)
Probable starter: Dante Mendoza (4.50 ERA, 9:4 SO/BB, 8.0 IP)

GCL: Pirates (3-4) vs Red Sox (4-4) 10:00 AM  (season preview)

DSL: Pirates1 (12-16) vs Dodgers Shoemaker (14-14) 10:30 AM  (season preview)

DSL: Pirates2 (23-5) vs Mariners (10-18) 10:30 AM  (season preview)

HIGHLIGHTS

From Altoona, there were no videos posted from Tuesday’s action, so we go back to Monday for this two-run double by Chris Sharpe

Sharpe already had an RBI earlier in the game

Wilbur Miller
Wilbur Miller
Having followed the Pirates fanatically since 1965, Wilbur Miller is one of the fast-dwindling number of fans who’ve actually seen good Pirate teams. He’s even seen Hall-of-Fame Pirates who didn’t get traded mid-career, if you can imagine such a thing. His first in-person game was a 5-4, 11-inning win at Forbes Field over Milwaukee (no, not that one). He’s been writing about the Pirates at various locations online for over 20 years. It has its frustrations, but it’s certainly more cathartic than writing legal stuff. Wilbur is retired and now lives in Bradenton with his wife and three temperamental cats.

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