Tag: Pirates playoff chances

Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Close to Clinching, But Division Underdogs

The Pirates are making the playoffs, barring an unprecedented disaster. Pittsburgh’s postseason odds are at 99.6 percent, meaning there is a 1-in-250-chance the Bucs are shut out of the playoffs. However, posting an 8-9 September record that includes being swept in St. Louis has pushed the Pirates from being favorites in the NL Central division […]
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Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Now Underdogs in NL Central

So it turns out being swept by the St. Louis Cardinals hurts your chances of winning the National League Central division. The Pittsburgh Pirates dropped all three games at Busch Stadium this weekend, by a margin of 26-10, to move from odds-on division favorite to underdogs in the Central. Let’s look at the standings for […]
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Pirates Playoff Odds After Trading for Marlon Byrd, John Buck

It would take a Hindenburg-esque crash for the Pirates to miss the MLB postseason (98-percent chance Bucs make it), but it is unlikely they will take the NL Central over the St. Louis Cardinals (32 percent). The Bucs can shoulder some blame. The Pirates are 12-13 in August, a month that started with their 13-0 loss […]
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Pirates Playoff Odds: NL Central Could Be St. Louis-Pittsburgh Dead Heat

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 98-percent chance to make the playoffs and a 36-percent chance to win the National League Central division, according to combined odds from Baseball Prospectus and Clay Davenport. Pirates general manager Neal Huntington says he does not even glance at the NL Wild Card standings. “I really don’t look at standings, […]
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Pirates Notebook: Neil Walker Has Been a Hit in August

While the Pirates’ overall offense is slowly accelerating this month (11th in the NL in runs, 6th in OPS), Neil Walker has shifted gears entirely. Pittsburgh’s second baseman has been one of the league’s most productive players in August, hitting .362 with an .893 OPS. Only Arizona’s hot-hitting Aaron Hill (.391 BA, 1.146 OPS) is performing […]
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Pirates Playoff Odds: Bucs Get Chance to Attack vs. Cardinals, D-Backs

This upcoming week is the most important so far in determining the Pirates’ overall playoff chances and division-winning chances. The Bucs get three games against the St. Louis Cardinals to extend their lead in the National League Central, then they play three against the Arizona Diamondbacks to chip away at their magic number for a […]
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Pirates Playoff Odds Remain Above 98 Percent into August

The Pirates won four out of five games from the St. Louis Cardinals and two out of three from the Colorado Rockies last week. That is, hold on while I get my dictionary… A good thing. Good. Hmm, that’s a new word. Anyway, Pittsburgh sat just under 98 percent playoff odds one week ago and now are just […]
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Pirates Playoff Odds at 98 Percent, Best in Baseball

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a nearly 98 percent chance to reach the MLB postseason, averaging projections from Baseball Prospectus and Clay Davenport, and are expected to finish the season 93-69. The combined playoff odds are the best in Major League Baseball and the highest Pittsburgh has seen in the last three seasons, including a 49 […]
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Pirates Playoff Odds Fall to 86 Percent After Two Series Losses

Even though a 2-4 week is not a precursor to COLLAPSE 3.0: THE COLLAPSENING, every loss affects the Pirates’ chances of making the playoffs. With the team projected to win 91 games, every additional win or loss has a distinct effect on the playoff odds. The Pirates have a 86% chance to make the playoffs, a […]
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Pirates Playoff Odds Over 90 Percent with MLB’s Best Record

The Pittsburgh Pirates not only have the best record in Major League Baseball, but also the best chance to make the MLB Playoffs. Every week we look at the projected standings from Baseball Prospectus, Clay Davenport and FanGraphs, three of the most reliable postseason projections. At the halfway point of the season the Pirates have […]
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The 2020 Prospect Guide is Now Available!

Pirates Prospects took the leap to being my full-time job at the end of the 2010 season, all thanks to the release of our...